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दोहा दौर पर नहीं बनी सहमति September 5, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,indian economy,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 5:38 am

D
भारत की राजधानी दिल्ली में विश्व व्यापार संगठन (डब्ल्यूटीओ) के दोहा दौर की बातचीत को आगे बढ़ाने के लिए बुलाई गई बैठक बिना किसी ठोस नतीजे पर पहुँचे ख़त्म हो गई है.

अमरीका, ऑस्ट्रेलिया, युरोपीय संघ के देशों और ब्राज़ील समेत तीस प्रमुख देशों की दो दिवसीय बैठक में दोहा दौर की वार्ता को अगले वर्ष अंजाम तक पहुँचाने के लिए एजेंडा नहीं बन सका.

असहमति उन्हीं मुद्दों पर रही जो पिछले कुछ वर्षों से डब्ल्यूटीओ वार्ताओं में रोड़ा अटकाती रही है.

जहां भारत समेत विकासशील देशों ने धनी देशों में किसानों को मिलने वाली सब्सिडी पर सवाल उठाए, वहीं विकसित देशों की माँग थी कि विकासशील देश औद्योगिक सामानों पर आयात शुल्क कम करें.

असहमति की झलक भारतीय उद्योग मंत्री आनंद शर्मा और डब्ल्यूटीओ के प्रमुख पास्कल लामी के बयानों से साफ़ झलक रही थी.

आनंद शर्मा ने स्पष्ट किया कि अगले साल दोहा दौर को अंजाम तक पहुँचाने के लिए डब्ल्यूटीओ को काफ़ी काम करना बाकी है.

दूसरी ओर पास्कल लामी और ऑस्ट्रेलियाई व्यापार मंत्री साइमन क्रीन का कहना था कि जिन मुद्दों पर पहले सहमति बन चुकी है, उन पर दोबारा चर्चा की ज़रूरत नहीं है और अब ‘आख़िरी वार्ता’ होनी चाहिए.

असहमति

भारत में किसानों ने डब्ल्यूटीओ की बैठक का विरोध किया.

आनंद शर्मा का कहना था, “अब हमारे पास कुछ विचार आ गए हैं जिनके आधार पर हम बातचीत को तेज़ कर सकते हैं लेकिन बहुत सारे तकनीकी कार्य बचे हुए हैं.”

उन्होंने लामी से असहमति जताते हुए कहा कि ‘आख़िर चरण’ में प्रवेश करने से पहले बहुत लंबा सफ़र तय करना बाकी है.

दोहा दौर की बातचीत वर्ष 2001 में शुरु हुई थी. इसका मकसद सदस्य देशों के बीच शुल्क मुक्त व्यापार व्यवस्था को बढ़ाना है.

पिछले साल जुलाई में जिनेवा में हुई बैठक असफल रही थी लेकिन इस बीच अमरीका और भारत में नई सरकार के सत्ता में आने से फिर उम्मीद कायम हुई.

जिनेवा की असफलता के लिए भारत को मुख्य तौर पर ज़िम्मेदार माना गया जिसने अमरीका में कृषि सब्सिडी पर सख़्त आपत्ति जताई थी.

इसी महीने रूस के पीट्सबर्ग में धनी और विकासशील देशों के संगठन जी-20 की बैठक होनी है और दिल्ली में हुई बैठक को इसी की तैयारी के रूप में देखा जा रहा था.

 

श्रीलंका चाय उद्योग में असहयोग आंदोलन September 4, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 5:31 am

श्रीलंका के मज़दूर संघों का कहना है कि चायबाग़ान के लगभग ढाई लाख कर्मचारी बेहतर वेतन की मांग को लेकर चलाए जा रहे असहयोग अभियान में हिस्सा ले रहे हैं.

देश के तीन बड़े मज़दूर संघों द्वारा आयोजित इस असहयोग अभियान को हड़ताल नहीं माना जा रहा है क्योंकि इस असहयोग अभियान के अंतर्गत कर्मचारी चाय की पत्तियां तोड़ रहे हैं लेकिन उन्हें बागान से बाहर नहीं जाने दे रहे हैं.

उल्लेखनीय है कि चीन, भारत और कीनिया के बाद श्रीलंका दुनिया का चौथा सबसे बड़ा चाय उत्पादक देश है लेकिन आर्थिक मंदी के असर से श्रीलंका के चाय बाग़ान भी नहीं बचे हैं.

इसके अलावा चाय उत्पादक इलाकों के सूखे का शिकार होने के कारण भी चाय की खेती पर बुरा असर पड़ा है.

चाय बाग़ान मज़दूर इस असहयोग आंदोलन के ज़रिए अपनी रोज़ की आमदनी में लगभग दोगुनी बढ़ोतरी की मांग कर रहे हैं.

चाय बाग़ान के तमिल मज़दूरों का प्रतिनिधित्व करने वाले राजनीतिक दल सीलोन वर्कर्स कांग्रेस के नेता रमैया योगराजन का कहना है, “ चाय बाग़ान के ग़रीब मज़दूरो की संख्या देश में सबसे ज्यादा है.1992 में चाय उद्योग के निजीकरण के बाद से 2002 तक मज़दूरों की ग़रीबी 22 प्रतिशत से बढ़कर 32 प्रतिशत हो गई इसलिए मज़दूरों की आमदनी का मुद्दा अब काफी गंभीर हो चला है.”

श्रीलंका के चाय व्यापारियों की संस्था ने चिंता व्यक्त की है कि मज़दूरों के इस असहयोग से चाय के उत्पादन और निर्यात पर असर पडेगा. दूसरी ओर मज़दूर संघों ने इस बात पर ख़ुशी ज़ाहिर की है कि इस आंदोलन के ज़रिए वो चाय बाग़ान के मालिकों का ध्यान इस ओर खींचने में सफल हो रहे हैं.

 

ईरान में पहली महिला मंत्री को मंज़ूरी September 4, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 5:25 am

ईरान के संसद ने एक महिला को मंत्रिमंडल में शामिल किए जाने को मंज़ूरी दे दी है.

इस्लामिक गणतंत्र के तीस साल के इतिहास में पहली बार किसी महिला को मंत्रिमंडल में शामिल किया गया है.

वो राष्ट्रपति अहमदीनेजाद के 18 सदस्यीय मंत्रिमंडल की सदस्य होंगीं
हालांकि अहमदीनेजाद ने दो और महिलाओं को मंत्रिमंडल में शामिल किए जाने का प्रस्ताव रखा था लेकिन संसद ने जिन तीन लोगों को मंत्रिमंडल में शामिल किए जाने की मंज़ूरी नहीं दी उनमें ये दो महिलाएँ भी हैं.

मरज़ीह वहीद दस्तजेरदी, जिन्हें महिला मंत्री के रुप में मंज़ूरी मिली है, एक कट्टरपंथी रुढ़िवादी नेता रही हैं.

 

GDP India vs. GDP China September 2, 2009

Filed under: INTERNATIONAL,International Relation — swapsushias @ 1:55 pm



GDP India vs. GDP China

The growth rate in GDP India vs. GDP China has increased outstandingly in the recent period due to several factors leading to an economic upsurge in both the countries. China and India jointly account for 2.4 billion people, which is roughly 40 percent of the total population of the world. It has been assumed that China is likely to excel Japan in terms of population by the year 2016. By the end of the year 2045, China is expected to surpass United States in the population strength also. According to a survey report on the growth rate of China and India GDP, it has been stated that the institutional investors have made a notable contribution in the country’s economy, which led to the hike in the GDP of both the countries.

India GDP and China GDP are likely to grow in their own ways. To be precise, in 25 years from the current period it has been assumed that China will have a more superior economy as it already leads the total output in the world. On the other hand, soon in the coming years India will have superior investor returns than China. This is because of the augmented institutional development in India which is higher and more efficient than that of China. Considering the expected conflicts in China’s economic and political systems, it can be inferred that a wide diversification of the investors is an essential factor that is required for a sustainable growth in the country’s GDP.

It has been reported by a survey done on GDP India vs. GDP China that India’s GDP (PPP) is four trillion whereas China’s GDP (PPP) is ten trillion. As per the post-war history of economics, China’s economy has undergone a drastic change with seven percent increase in its GDP. The growth in GDP of China has resulted from the rapid rise in the manufacturing of high-tech goods in the country under the large-scale high-tech manufacturing firms like Lenovo, Baidu.com and Huawei Technologies. The infrastructural development in China has also been quite higher than that of India, which has added to the growth of China GDP. In general, China spends much more in its infrastructural facilities than India.

Former World Bank Chief James Wolfensohn declared in one of his speeches that soon GDP India and GDP China will witness an overwhelming growth that will transcend the G7 countries, that includes United States of America, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and United Kingdom. It is assumed that by the year 2050, both India GDP and China GDP will witness a gargantuan growth. The current GDP of China is USD two trillion which is predicted to reach USD 48.6 trillion by 2050. On the other hand, India’s current GDP is USD one trillion, which will become USD 27 trillion by that time.

 

A R Rahman wins ‘Grassroot Grammy’ September 2, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 1:10 pm

The Oscar-winning musician A R Rahman has won the ‘Grassroot Grammy’ award held in the US.

The ‘Mozart of Madras’ bagged the top prize for the soundtrack in the Tamil film “Godfather” in the ‘Best Indian album’ category at the ‘Just Plain Folks 2009 Music Awards’ held recently.

Bangla band ‘Krosswindz’ and Ilayaraja were among others nominated in the category.

With over 50,000 members worldwide, the ‘Just Plain Folks 2009 Music Awards’ is aimed at supporting grassroot songwriters and musicians through networking, education and promotional support.

Rahman also won the third place in the ‘Best Indian Song’ category for ‘Innisai’ (Radio Mix) from “Godfather” while his ‘Illamai’ was fifth in the same category.

Ilyaraja’s “Music Journey: Live in Italy” was third in the ‘Best Indian album’ category.

In ‘Indian Classical and Traditional Album’ category Shweta Jhaveri’s “Avishkar” clinched the first position.

The awards received responses from over 163 countries.

 

Colombo names new Foreign Secretary August 29, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 3:03 am

Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa on Friday appointed the High Commissioner in New Delhi, Romesh Jayasinghe, as the new Foreign Secretary from October 1.

Mr. Rajapaksa nominated Additional Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Prasad Kariyawasam, who was also Sri Lanka’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations in New York, as Mr. Jayasinghe’s successor.

Mr. Jayasinghe will succeed Palitha Kohona, the current Foreign Secretary, who goes to the United Nations in New York. Among the seven other top-level diplomatic appointments included Air Chief Marshal Donald Perera, former Chief of Defence Staff (CDS), as Ambassador designate to Israel.

 

All about 123 August 26, 2009

Filed under: gk,INTERNATIONAL,International Relation — swapsushias @ 11:01 am

123 will take us to infinity, Hyde to zero
123 is a bilateral agreement between India and the US. It aims to give India access to US nuclear fuel and equipment, overturning a three-decade ban imposed after, New Delhi, which has not signed the Non-Proliferation Treat, conducted a nuclear test in 1974. [Under the treaty, the nuclear weapon states party to the agreement pledge not to transfer nuclear weapons or any other nuclear explosive devices (such as possible peaceful nuclear explosives for large-scale excavations) to any recipient or to “assist, encourage, or induce” any nonnuclear weapon state to manufacture nuclear weapons or any other nuclear explosive devices. The nuclear weapon states are not required by the treaty to give up nuclear weapons
The civil nuclear deal will remain in force for a 40-year period and can be extended by an additional 10 years at a time.
The US will help India secure uninterrupted supplies of nuclear fuel as well as maintain a strategic fuel reserve for its safeguarded nuclear reactors.

In return, India will put its agreed civilian nuclear reactors in perpetuity under (possibility of US inspections of Indian nuclear facilities given in article 10.4 of the 123 text, though not explicitly, “If the IAEA decides that the application of IAEA safeguards is no longer possible, the supplier and the recipient should consult and agree on appropriate verification measures, but this should be considered a remote incident)

If India does a nuclear test, the agreement will be terminated only after one year’s written notice by the US. The US will take into account whether “circumstances that may lead to termination” resulted from “changed security environment” or “a response to similar actions by other actions” in deciding the termination of the agreement. (In other words, if Pakistan or China conducted nuclear test, the US would take that into account if India responded.) (Also India can terminate the agreement giving one year’s notice)

On termination, the US will have the right to seek return of all equipment and nuclear material transferred under this agreement.

Before exercising the right of return, the US will compensate India by providing an alternative or the money spent by India. (Like, the two countries would jointly convene a group of friendly supplier countries such as Russia, France and Britain to restore supplies to India) (Article 14.5 of the text clearly states protections built by India into the agreement)

The US will support India’s case for high dual-use technology and nuclear fuel with the NSG.

The two countries had wanted to sew the agreement because India had wanted the US to allow it to reprocess spent nuclear fuel, assure permanent fuel supplies and not penalise India by ending nuclear trade if it conducts a nuclear test. The text shows that the first two demands had largely been met, while there was no direct mention of the consequences of another Indian test. (this problem can be very tactfully handled, for commencing nuclear trade India needs to get an exemption from the Nuclear Suppliers’ Group which does not trade with a non-NPT state, the exemption will be facilitated by the US influence in the group and after that New Delhi could do an end-run around America to buy power reactors from Russia and France)

India will set up a dedicated facility under IAEA safeguards for reprocessing

Likely benefits for both the sides:

For the US – A US chamber of commerce anticipates $100 billion worth of opportunity from the re-opening of India’s nuclear sector to foreign companies and countries

For India

  1. global civilian nuclear cooperation
  2. right to retain nuclear weapons while being outside the Non- Proliferation Treaty (Article 2 of the text allows advance nuclear R&D and the setting up of a reserve stockpile of nuclear fuel to guard against any disruption of supply during the lifetime of the reactors (thus India has got a humorous but wise option too, that of stockpiling the fuel and then ditching America by terminating the agreement and starting nuclear commerce with other countries).
  3. Access to high and dual-use technology even when India is not a member of the NSG and the Missile Technology Control Regime(MTCR)
  4. India will be the only country, outside the NT, in the world to have both nuclear weapons as well as benefits of trade as available to a nuclear weapons state
  5. While outside the NPT, India will be allowed to have nuclear weapons
  6. Partnership with the US supports India’s rising stature in the world
  7. Without being a signatory to the NSG and MTCR, India can trade in restrictive technology with members of these elite clubs
  8. India gets resources to meet its declared target of 20, 000 MW of nuclear power by 2020.

Concerns about 123:

  1. Uncertainty over the eventual shape of national reprocessing facilities under IAEA safeguards (and the present deadlock in the higher echelons of the coalition govt is all about this, the consensus reached at the last November’s meeting of the coordination committee, set up for resolving the issues related to the deal within the govt machinery, had agreed to wait upon the results of the discussions with the IAEA and then after going through the draft agreement will proceed to the next step. But the govt is not revealing the details of the agreement citing security and other reasons)
  2. Transfer of nuclear fuel and components by the US will be governed by US laws and not by 123. ( and the US congress has passed the notorious HYDE act in December,2006 which has negated all the negotiations reached between the two countries)
  3. the likelihood of US interference in India’s national security/foreign policy issues ( the Hyde Act desires that India aligns its national security and foreign policies with that of the US)

Steps towards civilian nuclear cooperation:

  1. signing of 123 agreement , which has already been done in august 2007
  2. safeguard agreement and India-specific additional protocol with the IAEA
  3. acceptance of India by the nsg as a country possessing advanced nuclear technology
  4. final up/down (approval) vote by the US Congress
  5. This final step is all the more difficult as the Hyde act has specified stiff conditions which any NSG rule-0change must mirror – from a permanent test ban and tightly regulated uranium access to a continued prohibition on all civil nuclear fuel-cycle technologies and the right to demand the return of transferred items and materials

CONCLUSION:

123 agreement is too tempting and its advantages are beyond doubt true and far reaching. But if the Hyde Act has its shadow on it, it appears dwarfed and darkened. A 123 Agreement without a Hyde Act is what is feasible and desirable for our country otherwise the future is rather bleak which is rightly the concern of the Left parties of the UPA coalition. But a way is to be found out for amicable nuke deal. All the Best India!

 

G-8 SUMMIT 2009 August 25, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL,SHORT NOTES — swapsushias @ 5:56 am

G-8 Summits provide global leaders an opportunity to review economic and political along with socio-cultural conditions prevailing across the world.This year the 35th G-8 Summit was held at L’Aquila, Italy from 8th to 10th July.Apart from the existing members of G-8, leaders of the five Emerging Economies of the world namely India, China,Brazil, Mexico and South Africa also attended the Summit and it came to be known as G8+5 Summit.

The main agenda of the Summit included Climate change,global financial crisis,Energy security and nuclear energy,millennium development goals,poverty in Africa,Intellectual property rights among others.

The main decisions taken by the leaders are as follows

  • Industrial nations to avoid protectionism and ensure credit flows
  • Joint commitment to provide resources to international financial institutions
  • Call for a balanced conclusion to the Doha round of talks
  • Participants to refrain from introducing any barriers to trade and investment
  • WTO and other international agencies to monitor financial stability and the situation and report publicly on quarterly basis
  • Commitment towards clean energy technology and reduction of Green House gas emissions
  • Bridge the gap before the next G20 summit
  • Next climate change summit in Copenhagen

The contentious issues at the summit were

  • Reduction of emission of GHGs
  • Funding and technology transfer for clean energy technology.The developed nations want IP protected clean energy technology to be transferred to developing nations at minimum or no license fee.
  • Agriculture and Non Agriculture Market Access.
 

वेनेज़ुएला की सुंदरी बनी मिस यूनिवर्स August 24, 2009

Filed under: current affairs,INTERNATIONAL — swapsushias @ 12:58 pm
मिस यूनिवर्स

वेनेजुएला की स्टेफ़ेनिया फर्नाडिज़ ने मिस यूनिवर्स का ख़िताब जीता

वेनेज़ुएला की सुंदरी स्टेफ़ेनिया फर्नांडिज़ ने वर्ष 2009 का मिस यूनिवर्स का ख़िताब जीत लिया है.

पिछले साल भी वेनेज़ुएला की डायना मेंडोज़ा मिस यूनिवर्स बनी थीं और इस बार की विजेता को उन्होंने ही ताज पहनाया.

दूसरी ओर बाहामास में चल रही इस प्रतियोगिता के भारत की एकता चौधरी अंतिम 15 में भी स्थान नहीं बना पाईं.

इस तरह पिछले नौ साल से जारी भारत का इंतज़ार और एक वर्ष के लिए टल गया है.

इस प्रतियोगिता में 85 देशों की सुंदरियां ने हिस्सा लिया.

विभिन्न राउंड

उल्लेखनीय है कि फ़ाइनल से पहले लगभग एक महीने तक प्रतियोगिता के विभिन्न राउंड हुए थे.

एकता चौधरी

भारत की एकता चौधरी पहले 15 में स्थान नहीं बना पाईं

इन प्रतियोगिता में तीन मुख्य दौर थे- स्विम सूट राउंड, इवनिंग गाउन राउंड और इंटरव्यू राउंड.

भारत की 22 वर्षीय एकता चौधरी राष्ट्रीय राजधानी क्षेत्र दिल्ली की रहने वाली हैं.

शुरू से ही एकता चौधरी के लिए ये प्रतियोगिता चुनौती भरी मानी जा रही थी.

दअरसल, इस प्रतियोगिता के दौरान एकता ने जो पारंपरिक परिधान पहना था, उसे कम पसंद किया गया था.

 

INDIA’S ‘POWER’: WEAKNESS=VIRTUE, STRENGTH=IMMORALITY August 23, 2009

Filed under: ESSAY,INTERNATIONAL,National Affairs — swapsushias @ 1:00 pm


The uprising in Tibet is the latest in a long series of developments in India’s neighbourhood that has exposed India’s congenital inability and lack of desire to get itself to be counted as even a small player, forget a major one, in the region.

The ongoing protests against Chinese oppression in Tibet have seen India bend twice over backwards like a little nation so that the Chinese are not annoyed at all. All the cacophony about “morality” that accompanies other developments to influence India’s response – national interest be damned – is conspicuous by its almost total absence. This time, it is neither morality nor national interest which is determining India’s official and even media response to what China has been doing in Tibet for 60 years.

This time, it is an unashamed, unacknowledged acknowledgement of the utter relative weakness, not economic but military, that India has allowed itself to sink into vis a vis China. It is that unaddressed asymmetry and the terrifying fear of a Chinese retaliation to forcefully settle their long held claim over Arunachal Pradesh which has forced the country into pushing its lofty moral stances under a very dirty rug,

But, weakness somehow manages to find the strangest of moral ruses. There are voices comparing Tibet with, would you believe it, Kashmir and even the North East to justify the prostration to the Chinese! We conveniently like to forget many inconvenient truths. Had India wanted, for example, it could have claimed Myanmar with nearly the same justification that China has claimed and taken Tibet.

Tibetans do not claim Arunachal Pradesh; the Chinese do, on their behalf! The Dalai Lama has been driven out of his country by the invading Chinese; in Indian Kashmir, Kashmiri Hindus have been driven out by fellow Kashmiri and Pakistani Muslims! But, for the most dishonest of “moral” reasons, we gag the Dalai Lama and praise the Chinese who use the foulest of words for this apostle of peace to avoid talking to him; we pretend that homeless Kashmiri Pandits don’t exist and give enormous respect, time, importance, understanding and sympathy to the masters of AK47 wielding killers fielded by Pakistan to usurp Kashmir.

Last year, when the military junta in powerless Myanmar was facing a revolt from monks, ‘conscience keepers’ of India were up and awake, berating India for not taking the side of the monks. Very few were then concerned that India had already lost much ground to an aggressive and focused China and that any abrupt reaction against the junta would drive Myanmar almost totally into the arms of that country. It did not matter to them that the Chinese were working steadily to get a very easy route through Myanmar into the plains of Assam, to cut off and capture most of Arunachal Pradesh, whenever they decide to, with ease. All that mattered to them was the “morality” of supporting democracy in Myanmar and the unacceptability of supporting military dictatorship. National interest? That is all bunkum, said one illustrated TV personality.

Exactly the opposite happened when the Musharraf, the General responsible for occupying parts of Kargil, overthrew a democratically elected government in a military coup. Then there was no moral outcry, no calls to break ties with the military regime that had launched an attack on India and show solidarity with the forces of democracy. On the contrary, the practical voice which was most heard was that we had to do business with whoever was in power in Pakistan. The moral brigade was in fact the first to forgive the General and begin a long lasting “love affair’” with him. Was all this due to an enlightened understanding of national interest or was it because of something more fundamental and disturbingly so?

Ever since India gained Independence thanks mainly to the moral force of Mahatma Gandhi’s words and actions rather than any conventional force, India has fancied itself as a global moral voice, a sort of continuation of the Mahatma’s legacy. Gandhi’s morality and non violence had no space for “weakness” at all. It was the unusual actuation of great, uncompromising strength which did not need any weapons. Indeed, in retrospect, it is clear that that was the only strength which could have defeated the British; militarily there was just no chance.

In Independent India, unfortunately, somewhere that concept has got seriously distorted. The reality of global power play of nations has simply not been grasped fully in its harsh, violent and ambitious dimensions, despite many rude wake-up calls. There is a peculiar paralysis when it comes to talking about and with strength.

In fact, in India, we weirdly hyphenate strength with immorality; it is not something to be sought or flaunted. Unfortunately, that has become our national ethos. Being macho might be fine for the Americans and the Chinese, but that is not the arrogant path that India should tread. On the flip side, great virtue is associated with weakness, as if only the weak and the meek tread the moral path. Perhaps that is true, for the weak often have little choice, as confronting the strong will lead to only one result. You can keep calling the possession and use of strength by any uncharitable epithet to justify your weakness; if you succumb to it, as India has done almost always done since 1947, except in 1971, the moral part is nothing more than a camouflage to fool you own countrymen and even yourself!

Why has this state come about? Is it because at some level we are still in the mental frame that we got into to drive the British out of the country? Then the moral question was straightforward: the colonial foreigner had no right to rule over this vast land. He knew that too.

However, for an independent country aspiring to be one of the great nations of the world, the questions are many more and far more complex. Morality cannot be the determinator that will make an aggressor see your reason. Nor is it a workable tool to take a practical view of the globe in which countries fight essentially by the rules of the jungle when it comes to the crunch. Only the fittest have survived till now; there is every reason to believe that might will continue to be almost always right in future too.

The Americans know this elementary stuff. So do the Chinese, who are working furiously to ensure that they too get securely into the “right” lane of might which the US has made all its own. Indians, despite being thrice as many as Americans and almost as many as Chinese on this planet, just don’t seem to get it. We want to continue to make believe that we are in a separate lane all of our own and claim that our weak moral lane is the right one which will not be challenged by those in the lanes of might! This strategy is probably the only practical one which will work for, say, Fiji, Mauritius, Tonga, Cuba and the like. Not for a country that is almost a sub continent.(जरा सोचिये )_

This raises another question. Does India have no world view commensurate with its size and strategic importance? Has India not yet woken up to its role, responsibility and power as India the nation? Does it still continue to think small and react like those hundreds of pre-British era kingdoms whose tiny world view virtually ended at the boundaries of their little kingdoms? Or does India still view itself as the age old spiritual and cultural entity it has been rather than the huge political reality that it is today in a world whose map has been, and will continue to be, shaped by power and force, no matter what Indian “delusionists” may tell you?

India’s internal political, bureaucratic and social dynamics are clearly dominated by forces trying to cut up the country into smaller and smaller “estates” and groups whose vested interests they champion as supreme, no matter what happens to the country. The few voices trying to take a larger, holistic national view are invariably drowned out by the force, even blackmail, of small pressure groups fiercely protecting their small turfs.

That is another reason why there is very little serious national political debate, awareness and interest in matters related to foreign policy and India’s engagement with its neighbours. Whatever little there is, is concerned mostly about the effect that any action or response will have on the many constituencies that we have created in babudom and the society. This is the effete and self destructive “soft power” that India projects to the world, garnished with immoral morality.

India is the prime real estate that has been most invaded and attacked in the history of all of mankind. It should, therefore, have logically been most alive to and concerned about the challenges that it faces or may face in future to its standing, interests and even existence. It was the country’s economic prosperity and its riches that had repeatedly attracted invaders in the past. Emboldened by the total lack of organized vision and strength, and the prevalence of petty and destructive internal divisions, they were able to achieve easy victories, often with a smaller force.

With so many historical lessons to learn from, including those received after Independence, India should have been fully committed to addressing the mistakes of the past so that history does not repeat itself. But, it is a matter of serious concern that nearly the same weaknesses continue to mark national response to the challenges that the country faces from its aggressive and hostile neighbours, forget the rest of the world.

When are we going to learn what we should have learnt many years ago? Even as China demonstrates its unflinching resolve to aggressively protect its national interest and bullies us into meek submission, there is nothing to suggest that we are even thinking about where we have gone wrong to find ourselves so belittled again, and where we should go from here.

The paralysis appears to be almost complete and irreversible. Perhaps it will take the US to get India to show some movement and spine befitting its size and potential strength. It will do that not because of any moral love for India, but because it will see for India in America’s national interest what India should have seen on its own!

 

 
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